Spatial Scenarios As A Tool For Future-Proof Spatial Planning In the Netherlands

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Date
2024
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AESOP
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In spring 2023, the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency published the research project Spatial Outlook 2023 with four spatial scenarios for the Netherlands in 2050. In this multidisciplinary scenario study, a combination of story lines, maps and other forms of visualisations is used to explore and describe how the country could look like after the transition towards a climate-neutral and circular society. This paper describes the method of how the scenario story lines and the related land use maps were developed by applying a new mixed methods approach that combines participatory and multidisciplinary scenario development, GIS-based land use modelling and creative tools of research by design. Moreover, the paper discusses the use of spatial scenarios in the context of regional and national spatial planning. Keywords: Spatial planning; Scenario method; Sustainable land use; Research by design; Multidisciplinary research
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Game changer? Planning for just and sustainable urban regions, Paris, 8-12th July 2024
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